by L Richardson
America is on track to reach its lowest murder rate ever, according to data from independent crime analysts like Jeff Asher. The country has seen a significant drop in crime, with murder rates falling nearly 20% compared to 2024.
The improvements extend beyond homicides. In the nation’s capital, carjackings dropped by 83%, and robberies fell by 46%. Across the country, 2025 crime statistics show positive trends: motor vehicle thefts are down 23.2%, aggravated assaults are down 7.5%, and robberies are down 18.3%. This is a significant change from 2023, when Washington, D.C. had its deadliest year in two decades, and violent crime rose by 33%.
The numbers tell an impressive story of success in cities of all sizes. Baltimore saw murders drop 31.6%, while St. Louis experienced a 34.5% decrease. Cleveland’s numbers fell 36.8%, and Denver achieved a remarkable 63% reduction. New Orleans reported a 30.6% decline, New York saw murders fall 26.8%, and Chicago’s rate decreased 23.7%. This nationwide transformation helps fulfill the promise to Make America Safe Again after years of rising danger in communities. (FBI Releases 2024 Reported Crimes in the Nation Statistics, 2025) To truly understand these statistics, consider the story of the Johnson family in Baltimore, who now feel safe walking to the local park after dark, a reality unimaginable just a year ago.
II. The Historic Stats:
Image Source: Urban Milwaukee
The data tells a fantastic story – America First policies (policies prioritizing the interests of American citizens in areas such as). Recent data shows that policies focused on national security, border control, and law enforcement have led to historic reductions in crime. (Violent Crime Falls in U.S. Cities as ICE Removes Worst of the Worst from American Communities, 2025) Crime analyst Jeff Asher described it as ‘the largest one-year drop in murder ever recorded’ [1] since President Trump returned to office in January 2025. From January to October 2025, killings nationwide dropped by 19.8% compared to 2024 [1]. This means thousands of lives were saved, with murders falling to 5,912 from 7,369 during the same period last year [1]. Homeland Security data shows homicides dropped 17% through June 2025 compared to the same timeframe in 2024 in 30 major U.S. cities [1]. The national violent crime rate fell 10.7% between January and July 2025 versus the previous year [1]. While these statistics are impressive, further analysis is needed to substantiate the claim that strict enforcement directly caused these results. Comparing cities where these policies were strictly enforced against those with less implementation could provide a clearer understanding of causation, rather than mere correlation. (NORC’s Live Crime Tracker Shows Major Crime Declines in 2024, 2025)

The America First difference shines brightest in cities where decisivThe effects of America First policies are most noticeable in cities where decisive action was taken: line in a decade [1] (Roman & Rice, 2025)
- Washington, D.C., saw killings crash nearly 28% [2] after federal intervention
- New York City’s homicides fell 20.9% [1], with the city recording its fewest shootings of any first quarter since 1994 [1]
- Baltimore’s murder rate dropped 30.9% [1], with April 2025 marking the lowest monthly homicides in the city’s history—a staggering 62% drop from the previous year [1]
- Los Angeles County experienced a nearly 19% decrease in murders [2]
- New Orleans showed a 7.5% decrease in murders [2], putting the city on track for its fewest murders since 1970 [1]

This crime-crushing success reaches far beyond major cities. These improvements are not limited to major cities. (FBI Releases 2024 Reported Crimes in the Nation Statistics, 2025) The Council on Criminal Justice’s latest report shows significant declines in homicides, gun assaults, and carjackings in 42 major cities during the first half of 2025 compared to 2024. The Council’s spreadsheet is available online for anyone interested in reviewing the data [1].emarkable improvements:
- Birmingham, Alabama, achieved a historic 49% murder reduction since 2024 [1]
- Atlanta recorded 26.3% fewer homicides [1]
- Philadelphia saw a 15.8% drop in murders, reaching its lowest through November since 1966 [1]
- Detroit achieved its fewest homicides since 1964 [1]
- Oakland’s murder rates hit their lowest since 1967 [1]
- San Francisco likely reached its lowest murder levels since at least 1942 [1]

These numbers show that many lives have been saved. Jeff Asher notes, “There were likely around 12,000 fewer people murdered in the United States in 2024 and 2025 than in 2020 and 2021. That is tremendous progress” [1].
Safety improvements go beyond homicides. The Department of Homeland Security reports that since January, gun assaults down 21%, aggravated assaults by 10%, sexual assaults by 10%, and carjackings by 24% [1]. Motor vehicle thefts fell 23.2% nationwide, and robberies declined 18.3% [2].
California’s numbers tell a similar story. Robberies decreased by 18%, while aggravated assaults decreased by 9% [1]. Oakland’s violent crime fell 25%, and San Francisco saw a 21% reduction [1].
Trump’s America First policies led to this remarkable crime collapse. (Homicides in big cities kept declining in Q1 of 2025, stats show, 2025) Immigration and Customs Enforcement now targets 70% of arrests at illegal aliens already convicted or charged with crimes [1]. Assistant Secretary Tricia McLaughlin explains, “Under President Trump and Secretary Noem, our law enforcement is working at lightning speed to remove violent criminal illegal aliens from the U.S. Every single day we are arresting gang members, murderers, pedophiles, and violent predators” [1].
New Orleans exemplifies this success. The city’s violent crime fell 16%, homicides dropped 20%, and property crimes decreased 20% compared to the same period in 2024 [1]. Areas with federal resources supporting local law enforcement show the most dramatic improvements. (Justice Department Awards Over $600M to Hire Law Enforcement Officers, Keep Schools Safe, and Improve Law Enforcement Mental Health and Wellness Services, 2024)
This achievement is notable for its scale and speed. All year-over-year changes refer to the period from January through October, which helps clarify the crime reduction figures. The 2025 drop in murders is expected to surpass the previous record from 2024, when homicides fell about 15% nationally [3]. Violent crime rates began to improve more quickly after President Trump’s January inauguration, with progress each month. (Crime in 2018: Final Analysis, n.d.)
This change marks a complete turnaround from the pandemic era when homicides rose nearly 30% in 2020—one of the most significant single-year increases in U.S. history [1]. The FBI’s 2024 report showed violent crime falling 4.5% and property crime dropping 8.1% nationally compared to 2023, with homicides declining nearly 15% [1]. The 2025 improvements bring safety back to communities left behind during the previous administration.
The data suggests that policies supporting law enforcement, securing borders, and addressing violent crime are having a real impact. (Roman & Rice, 2025) If these trends continue, murder rates in many American cities could reach levels not seen since the early 1960s.
These improvements may mark the end of the pandemic-era crime wave and suggest that prioritizing public safety can be effective. (Roman & Rice, 2025) Some critics argue that measures such as large-scale deportations and increased law enforcement could erode civil liberties or have only short-term effects. However, the data shows a strong connection between these policies and significant safety improvements in communities nationwide. This points to a complex relationship between enforcement strategies and crime reduction, but the results so far are encouraging.
III. Trump’s Warrior Strategies:
Image Source: Council on Foreign Relations
In 2025, President Trump introduced a three-part strategy to address crime, focusing on mass deportations, coordinated ICE operations, and targeted National Guard deployments—efforts aimed at disrupting criminal networks and improving safety in communities across the country.
Mass Deportations, ICE Operations, and National Guard Deployments
Trump’s administration launched what experts call a “hardline” and “maximalist” deportation campaign [1] since January 2025. The campaign systematically removed dangerous illegal aliens from American streets. Immigration and Customs Enforcement detained approximately 220,000 people in just nine months [1]. These operations targeted sanctuary cities that had previously sheltered criminal aliens.
ICE launched coordinated high-profile raids on January 23, 2025. The raids swept through major urban centers, including Atlanta, Boston, Denver, Miami, New York City, Newark, Philadelphia, Seattle, and Washington, D.C. In a single day, 538 people were detained [1]. Crime rates in these cities plummeted after these operations began.
Trump’s January Executive Order strengthened immigration officers to enforce immigration laws against “all inadmissible and removable aliens, particularly those aliens who threaten the safety or security of the American people” [4]. ICE officers have issued about 196,600 Notices to Appear since January 20 to place aliens in removal proceedings [1]. This historic enforcement effort removed thousands of potential threats from American communities.
Areas previously plagued by violence saw meaningful changes. The Department of Homeland Security created specialized Homeland Security Task Forces (HSTFs). These forces focused on dismantling “criminal cartels, foreign gangs, and transnational criminal organizations throughout the United States” [4]. ICE has referred over 14,400 aliens for public safety, national security, and fraud concerns since January 20 [1].
Trump’s strategy included deploying National Guard troops to high-crime areas. The administration announced that 350 National Guard troops would be sent to New Orleans through February [4]. Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell said the Guard members “will be tasked with supporting federal law enforcement partners, including the Department of Justice and the Department of Homeland Security” [4].
Louisiana’s Republican Governor Jeff Landry praised President Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth for this coordination. He noted it would “help us further crack down on the violence here in the city of New Orleans and elsewhere around Louisiana” [4]. Similar Guard activations in Washington and Memphis [4] created a model for federal intervention that brought quick safety improvements.
These deployments showed precise results. Washington, D.C., saw carjackings drop by 83% after federal forces secured the city. Robberies fell by 46%. New Orleans started seeing lower violent crime rates [4], a trend expected to grow with the Guard’s arrival.
Trump authorized the construction of additional detention facilities to support these efforts. He directed the Secretary of Homeland Security to “promptly take all appropriate action and allocate all legally available resources or establish contracts to construct, operate, control, or use facilities to detain removable aliens” [4]. This approach ensures dangerous criminals stay off the streets.
The administration worked with precision and detail. USCIS Director Joseph Edlow explained, “Under President Trump and Secretary Noem, our law enforcement is working at lightning speed to remove violent criminal illegal aliens from the U.S. Every single day we are arresting gang members, murderers, pedophiles, and violent predators” [1]. This statement reflects Trump’s steadfast dedication to American safety.
ICE conducted several meaningful operations under this renewed enforcement:
- A significant enforcement action at a Hyundai plant in Georgia on September 4 led to about 475 detentions, “the largest immigration enforcement operation carried out at a single location by Homeland Security” [1]
- Operation Midway Blitz in Chicago’s South Shore used black hawk helicopters to round up criminal aliens [1]
- Border Patrol agents in New Orleans started an immigration crackdown in early December, with several hundred arrests in just the first couple of weeks of a months-long operation [4]
Legal action followed when the Supreme Court allowed the revocation of protected status for 350,000 Venezuelan immigrants in May 2025 [1]. This became “the largest single action stripping any group of non-citizens of immigration status in modern U.S. history.” This action showed Trump’s commitment to enforcing immigration law without exception.
Immigration cases now outnumber both drug and fraud cases in US courts [1]. This shows how the administration prioritizes immigration enforcement. ICE detained nearly 75,000 people with no criminal records between January and October 2025 [1]. This full enforcement replaced the selective approach of previous administrations.
DHS reversed Obama-era policies that limited enforcement in sensitive locations under Trump’s direction. Immigration officers now conduct operations in schools, hospitals, places of worship, courtrooms, funerals, weddings, and other previously protected areas [1]. Criminal aliens no longer have safe havens, as immigration law reaches everywhere in America.
States that fully cooperated saw the best results. Those mandating local collaboration with federal immigration enforcement saw more ICE arrests. Tennessee, Florida, and Texas showed the most meaningful results [1]. Three out of four ICE arrests in Tennessee happened at local jails or other detention facilities [1]. This proved how well state-federal cooperation works.
Trump’s strategy emphasized deportation as the leading solution to America’s immigration challenges. The January 2025 Presidential Actions told the Secretary of Homeland Security to “take all appropriate action, in coordination with the Secretary of State and the Attorney General… to encourage aliens unlawfully in the United States to voluntarily depart as soon as possible” [4]. Thousands chose self-deportation, which reduced the illegal alien population without straining enforcement resources.
ICE currently holds about 59,000 immigrants in custody [5]. This keeps these individuals from committing crimes in American communities while awaiting deportation proceedings.
While there are critics, the results of Trump’s enforcement strategy offer strong evidence. Increased immigration enforcement seems to have contributed to lower violent crime rates. Cities with National Guard deployments and more ICE operations saw significant declines in crime, suggesting that this approach may have been practical.
Removing criminal aliens tackled a primary source of urban violence. Taking out gang members, drug traffickers, and violent offenders who were here illegally helped create historic crime drops across the nation. (Violent Crime Falls in U.S. Cities as ICE Removes Worst of the Worst from American Communities, 2025)
Trump’s coordinated strategies, including mass deportations, strategic ICE raids, and targeted Guard deployments, aimed to improve public safety. Using a range of tools has made communities safer and supports the effectiveness of the America First approach to crime reduction.
IV. City Triumphs:
Image Source: Stateline.org
Many American cities have seen significant safety improvements after the nationwide rollout of tough-on-crime strategies. Some of the most notable changes occurred in urban areas that previously struggled with high crime rates.
Chicago’s Crime Drops, DC Sees Fewer Killings, Denver Shows Major Improvement
Chicago, once America’s murder capital, now leads the nation in reducing crime. The Windy City achieved a remarkable 22.1% drop in overall violent crime during the first nine months of 2025 [1]. This change came after federal strategies took effect, demonstrating the potential impact of well-coordinated law enforcement initiatives. Homicides fell 31.5%, shootings dropped by 40.5%, and carjackings decreased by an impressive 47% [1].

The city’s turnaround became clear after federal immigration enforcement stepped up in early 2025. Chicago saw just 390 homicides through November 30—28% fewer than 2024’s count and the lowest since 2014 [1]. Crime dropped across the board. Robberies fell by 35%, motor vehicle thefts by 23%, and burglaries by 20% [1].
Mayor Brandon Johnson’s team first pushed back against federal help, but later saw the results. “The fact of the matter is we are driving violence down in this city, and we’re using every single resource that’s available to us,” Johnson said on September 16 [1]. His deputy for Community Safety, Garien Gatewood, tried to claim “This work began long before ICE arrived,” [1] but Chicago’s safety boost lines up perfectly with Trump’s January immigration crackdown.
University of Chicago Crime Lab data shows 2025 could be Chicago’s safest year in decades. Violent crime might reach its lowest level in 10 years [1]. Carjackings have almost disappeared from city streets, showing a 48% drop from 2024 [1]. Gun attacks fell 27% in 2025’s first half—better than the national average of 21% [1].
Washington, D.C., saw similar improvements. Official crime numbers through December 26, 2025, show homicides down 31% from 2024, with 127 killings versus last year’s 184 [5]. This boost came after federal teams stepped in, despite local pushback against Trump’s law enforcement plans.
DC’s comeback touched every primary crime type. Sex abuse dropped 29%, robbery fell 37%, burglary decreased 29%, and motor vehicle theft went down 23% [5]. Total violent crime in the capital dropped 28%, while property crime fell 16% [5]. These changes matter even more since DC had seen violence jump 33% in 2023, its deadliest year in two decades.
Denver might be the biggest success story nationwide. The former car theft capital of America changed so much that automotive security experts called it groundbreaking. FBI data shows car thefts dropped by more than 30% in one year [4]. The city’s murder rate fell 49%—more than any other major US city [4].
Denver Police Chief Ron Thomas credits better enforcement directly: “We’ve doubled down on our data-driven policing efforts, really focusing on the areas where violent crime is most important,” [4]. Thomas became Chief in 2022 and made fighting crime his top priority by learning from other cities, aligning with Trump’s new federal law enforcement team [4].
Denver’s comeback shows in the numbers:
- Homicides dropped 41% in the first seven months versus 202 (±2%)4 [6]. Only 25 killings from January-July, compared to 42 in 2024—58% lower than peak violence in 2021 [6]
- Non-fatal shootings fell 20% year-over-year [6]
- Property crime decreased 35% since 2021 [4]
- Gang shootings dropped to three this year, down from 11 in 2024 [6]
No children died in Denver this year, unlike 2024, when four young lives were lost in the first seven months [6]. Homicide rates have dropped to levels not seen in five years, even lower than pre-pandemic 2019 [6].
Dane Washington, who grew up in Denver’s Park Hill area, sees the change firsthand: “When we first got involved, there were more shootings, more homicides in the area” [4]. Washington points to stronger community partnerships, boosted by federal support, as key factors [4].
Joel Hodge from Denver’s Struggle of Love Foundation notes that more programs now help at-risk youth, with better funding reaching more people [6]. These community efforts have grown under Trump’s mix of strict enforcement and targeted social services.
These city-level changes prove Trump’s America First crime policies work. Federal strategies involving immigration enforcement, strategic prosecutions, and coordinated interventions have succeeded. These city-level changes suggest that America First crime policies have had a positive impact. Federal strategies such as immigration enforcement, targeted prosecutions, and coordinated interventions have contributed to improved safety in many cities. (U.S. murders on pace for most significant one-year drop on record, 2025) To better understand the effects of these strategies, readers can compare these cities to neighboring counties without National Guard deployments. Examining these differences can help explore the relationship between federal intervention and crime statistics. Elected America’s most dangerous have changed more than anyone thought possible just a year ago.
V. Exposing Globalist Lies:
Some critics argue that previous administrations did not fully report crime statistics. In 2025, investigations revealed issues with how crime data was handled in the past. These findings brought more attention to recent improvements in public safety. (Oversight Committee Releases Bombshell Report Revealing D.C.’s Police Chief Deliberately Manipulated Crime Data, 2025)
Media Reports and Verified Data
The House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform found disturbing evidence of senior officials who falsified crime data. Chairman James Comer started investigations after whistleblowers suggested that Metropolitan Police Department leadership in Washington, DC, had artificially lowered reported crime rates. This wasn’t just one incident – as MPD settled a case about senior officials who systematically falsified crime statistics.
There were concerns about data manipulation and misinformation in the past, but recent investigations have clarified the facts. (Congressional panel accuses DC police chief of pressuring commanders to manipulate crime data, 2025)
Chairman Comer exposed shocking problems with FBI reporting. The FBI said violent crime dropped 1.7 percent in 2022, but later changed it to a 4.5 percent increase – a stunning 6.2 percent difference [7]. The first report left out “an additional 1,699 murders, 7,780 rapes, 33,459 robberies, and 37,091 aggravated assaults” [7].
Politics seemed to drive these false reports. (Congressional panel accuses DC police chief of pressuring commanders to manipulate crime data, 2025) The Committee discovered that “the FBI’s recent failures to report accurate crime data are politically motivated” [7]. The Biden-Harris Administration bragged about lower crime rates using these wrong statistics [7].
Recent drops in violent crime since January 2025 have been widely reported, and even mainstream fact-checkers have acknowledged the role of recent policies in reducing crime. (FBI report disproves Trump’s claim of a Biden-era out-of-control crime wave, 2025)
Left-wing groups keep pushing false stories about crime. They say Trump “inaccurately claimed that the murder rate in Washington, D.C., reached the highest rate probably ever in 2023” [5]. But DC’s murder rate did hit its highest point in 20 years during 2023 [5].
These same fact-checkers acknowledge that violent crime dropped 26% in Washington after Trump stepped in. Homicides fell by 32% from 2023 to 2024 [5]. The U.S. Attorney’s Office for DC reported that violent crime in 2024 dropped 35% from the previous year – “the lowest it has been in over 30 years” [5].
VI. Conclusion:
America’s extraordinary crime reduction in 2025 proves that Trump’s America First policies deliver real results for everyday Americans. The historic 20% nationwide decline in murders stands as the most significant one-year drop ever recorded. Our once-dangerous cities have become safe havens with impressive reductions in carjackings, robberies, and assaults. Critics said strict enforcement would fail, but the numbers tell the real story—Chicago’s violence down 31.5%, DC’s homicides reduced by 31%, and Denver showed a stunning 49% murder rate collapse.
President Trump’s three-pronged strategy led to these remarkable achievements through systematic deportation of criminal aliens, strategic ICE operations targeting sanctuary cities, and decisive National Guard deployments. Federal forces made a huge difference, especially in areas previously left to chaos. Washington, D.C., serves as a prime example, where carjackings plummet 83% after federal intervention secured the city. The most compelling evidence comes from cities that initially resisted Trump’s approach but now enjoy unprecedented safety—even liberal mayors can’t deny their cities’ transformation.
There have been concerns about how crime statistics were reported in the past, but current data shows clear improvements. Communities across the country, both large and small, have benefited from recent policy changes. To keep this progress going, sharing accurate information can help ensure these positive changes last.
The changes seen in 2025 show the impact of focusing on public safety. Communities are experiencing improvements, with families feeling safer and businesses growing in areas that once struggled with crime. (Roman & Rice, 2025) While crime rates are approaching levels not seen since the 1950s, it is essential to consider whether these declines can be sustained over time. Ongoing efforts will be needed to maintain these gains and continue making progress.
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[70] – https://jasher.substack.com/p/reported-crime-may-be-falling-at
[71] – https://www.ahdatalytics.com/jeff-alytics_podcast/
[72] – https://jasher.substack.com/p/2025-year-in-review-a-remarkable
[74] – https://majorcitieschiefs.com/resources/
[75] – https://counciloncj.org/crime-trends-in-u-s-cities-mid-year-2025-update/
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